Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep65%Yes No
R Senate, D House26%Yes No

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance19%Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%Yes No

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VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)66%Yes No
Tom Perriello (D)34%Yes No

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Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

66-70%90%Yes No
70%+9%Yes No

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Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson97%Yes No
David Eby<1%Yes No

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Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%Yes No
Amanda Janoo (D)25%Yes No

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North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)97%Yes No
Michael Whatley (R)3%Yes No

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Georgia Governor Election Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)63%Yes No
Rick Jackson (R)37%Yes No

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Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)75%Yes No
Green Party (MP)70%Yes No

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Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)90%Yes No
Andy Biggs (R)9%Yes No

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Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%Yes No
Angie Nixon (D)9%Yes No

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Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D)96%Yes No
Mike Collins (R)4%Yes No

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT)69%Yes No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%Yes No

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New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%Yes No
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%Yes No

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Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)87%Yes No
Scott Colom (D)13%Yes No

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Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%97%Yes No
Remain 60–80%<1%Yes No

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Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)86%Yes No
Zach Lahn (R)14%Yes No

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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Fernando Dias da Costa19%Yes No
João Bernardo Vieira18%Yes No

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Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19035%Yes No
200-20414%Yes No

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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party92%Yes No
Shutdown & Republican Party8%Yes No

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ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party92%Yes No
Not Extended & Republican Party8%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%Yes No

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Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)93%Yes No
John James (R)7%Yes No

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Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R)82%Yes No
David Jolly (D)19%Yes No

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Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)86%Yes No
Michele Tafoya (R)14%Yes No

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New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)92%Yes No
John E. Sununu (R)8%Yes No

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Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%Yes No
Todd Achilles (I)3%Yes No

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Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems47%Yes No
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps19%Yes No

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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida98%Yes No
Ohio97%Yes No

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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen86%Yes No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon43%Yes No

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Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund89%Yes No
Sepp Müller3%Yes No

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Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga86%Yes No
Francis James Allison Oyague3%Yes No

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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Marine Le Pen92%Yes No
Jean-Luc Mélenchon92%Yes No

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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

December 3116%Yes No

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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Amal Movement (Amal)16%Yes No
Lebanese Forces (LF)5%Yes No

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How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

22–2334%Yes No
<2227%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%Yes No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%Yes No

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Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)70%Yes No
Joe Lombardo (R)30%Yes No

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Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow83%Yes No
Brad Bradford14%Yes No

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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%

Yes 0.98 No 0.02

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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R)20%Yes No

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Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)65%Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D)35%Yes No

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Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)71%Yes No
Independent28%Yes No

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Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)83%Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)18%Yes No

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South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R)81%Yes No
Annie Andrews (D)20%Yes No

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Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%Yes No
Josh Turek (D)43%Yes No

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Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei44%Yes No
Axel Kicillof28%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate64%Yes No
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate29%Yes No

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Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Pete Buttigieg28%Yes No
Rahm Emanuel18%Yes No

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Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%Yes No
Adam Hamilton (D)37%Yes No

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Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%Yes No
<2026%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement93%Yes No
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%Yes No

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Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins80%Yes No
Bernadette Wilson11%Yes No

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Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan25%Yes No

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Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)69%Yes No
Jon Husted (R)31%Yes No

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Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an64%Yes No
Puma Shen36%Yes No

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Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova71%Yes No
Аndrey Gyurov28%Yes No

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Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo76%Yes No
Pedro Sánchez16%Yes No

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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic65%Yes No
Republican35%Yes No

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Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Yes No
Mike Rogers (R)31%Yes No

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