Fed Rates

Fed Decision in October?

No change94%Yes No
25 bps increase4%Yes No

New· FOMC

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes 0.02 No 0.98

New· Fed Emergency Rate Cut

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.70%68%Yes No
Below 4.65%56%Yes No

New

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.40%87%Yes No
5.50%62%Yes No

New

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.9%79%Yes No
Below 4.8%56%Yes No

New

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike74%Yes No
Hike–Pause–Pause21%Yes No

New· Fed 3-Parlay

Fed Decision in January?

No change68%Yes No
25 bps increase28%Yes No

New· FOMC

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

77%

Yes 0.77 No 0.23

New· Fed Rate Hike

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.3%47%Yes No
5.4%22%Yes No

New· 10-year Treasur

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%77%Yes No
↑ 4.5%6%Yes No

New

Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting50%Yes No
April 2027 Meeting30%Yes No

New

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%Yes No
No change20%Yes No

New· FOMC

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)93%Yes No
1 (25 bps)1%Yes No

New