Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting–April 2027 Meeting–June 2027 Meeting–March 2027 Meeting–

No trades yet · Ends Jan 29, 2028

July 2027 Meeting
50%
April 2027 Meeting
30%
June 2027 Meeting
27%
March 2027 Meeting
14%
January 2027 Meeting
10%
December 2026 Meeting
3%
October 2026 Meeting
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been anno…

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