Fed

Fed Decision in October?

No change94%Yes No
25 bps increase4%Yes No

New· FOMC

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes 0.02 No 0.98

New· Fed Emergency Rate Cut

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

December 31, 20262%Yes No

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Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

December 319%Yes No

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Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike74%Yes No
Hike–Pause–Pause21%Yes No

New· Fed 3-Parlay

Fed Decision in January?

No change68%Yes No
25 bps increase28%Yes No

New· FOMC

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

77%

Yes 0.77 No 0.23

New· Fed Rate Hike

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 4.25%77%Yes No
↑ 4.5%6%Yes No

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Fed rate cut by...?

July 2027 Meeting50%Yes No
April 2027 Meeting30%Yes No

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Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%Yes No
No change20%Yes No

New· FOMC

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%67%Yes No
4.0%18%Yes No

New

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)93%Yes No
1 (25 bps)1%Yes No

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