Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party92%YesNo
• Republican Party8%YesNo

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot54%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu26%YesNo

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 24>99%YesNo
• October 2895%YesNo

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65%YesNo
• R Senate, D House26%YesNo

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance19%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%YesNo

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VA-05 House Election Winner

• John McGuire (R)66%YesNo
• Tom Perriello (D)34%YesNo

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Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

5%

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Who will Trump endorse?

• John Cornyn - TX-Sen2%YesNo

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Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

• 66-70%90%YesNo
• 70%+9%YesNo

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Next Premier of British Columbia

• Lorne Doerkson97%YesNo
• David Eby<1%YesNo

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Vermont Governor Election Winner

• Phil Scott (R)75%YesNo
• Amanda Janoo (D)25%YesNo

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Next Press Secretary?

• Anna Kelly27%YesNo
• Scott Jennings8%YesNo

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North Carolina Senate Election Winner

• Roy Cooper (D)97%YesNo
• Michael Whatley (R)3%YesNo

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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

• Li Xi6%YesNo
• Wang Huning5%YesNo

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Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

14%

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Georgia Governor Election Winner

• Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)63%YesNo
• Rick Jackson (R)37%YesNo

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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%

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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

• Andy Burnham99%YesNo
• Lula da Silva68%YesNo

New· Trump talk monthly

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

• Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)75%YesNo
• Green Party (MP)70%YesNo

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France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

• December 313%YesNo
• November 151%YesNo

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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

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Arizona Governor Election Winner

• Katie Hobbs (D)90%YesNo
• Andy Biggs (R)9%YesNo

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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

• November 3056%YesNo
• October 3124%YesNo

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Florida Senate Election Winner

• Ashley Moody (R)91%YesNo
• Angie Nixon (D)9%YesNo

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Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuclear Test

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

• December 31, 202827%YesNo
• December 31, 202716%YesNo

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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

9%

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Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

• December 31, 20264%YesNo

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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

6%

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US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

• December 3160%YesNo
• November 3045%YesNo

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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

• March 31, 202717%YesNo
• December 31, 20268%YesNo

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Georgia Senate Election Winner

• Jon Ossoff (D)96%YesNo
• Mike Collins (R)4%YesNo

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Will Russia enter Borova by...?

• December 3115%YesNo

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Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%

New· NATO Article 5

Russia military action against EU country by...?

• December 31, 202723%YesNo
• December 31, 20269%YesNo

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How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

• 1-10058%YesNo
• 1k-2.5k15%YesNo

New· Gold Card

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

5%

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Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

• Kuomintang (KMT)69%YesNo
• Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russia capture Havrylivka

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

• December 31, 20262%YesNo

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New York Governor Election Winner

• Kathy Hochul (D)95%YesNo
• Bruce Blakeman (R)5%YesNo

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Mississippi Senate Election Winner

• Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)87%YesNo
• Scott Colom (D)13%YesNo

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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

• Mississippi99%YesNo
• Minnesota73%YesNo

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Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

• Remain 40–60%97%YesNo
• Remain 60–80%<1%YesNo

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China x India military clash by...?

• December 31, 20266%YesNo

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Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

• December 3121%YesNo

New· Russia enter Khatnie

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 280-29919%YesNo
• 300-31919%YesNo

New· Elon Tweets

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

6%

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Iowa Governor Election Winner

• Rob Sand (D)86%YesNo
• Zach Lahn (R)14%YesNo

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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

• Fernando Dias da Costa19%YesNo
• João Bernardo Vieira18%YesNo

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Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

• Below 19035%YesNo
• 200-20414%YesNo

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

• Shutdown & Democratic Party92%YesNo
• Shutdown & Republican Party8%YesNo

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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

• December 317%YesNo

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Lecornu out as French PM by...?

• December 31, 202622%YesNo
• October 31, 20263%YesNo

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