climate-science

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

10%

Yes 0.10 No 0.90

New· 5kt meteor strike

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

Yes 0.04 No 0.96

New

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

5%

Yes 0.05 No 0.95

New

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<556%Yes No
5-640%Yes No

New· How many SpaceX Starship launches

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

2%

Yes 0.02 No 0.98

New

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

152%Yes No
030%Yes No

New

New pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes 0.03 No 0.97

New· New Pandemic

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

17–1946%Yes No
14–1639%Yes No

New· How many 7.0 or above earthquakes

Human moon landing in 2026?

1%

Yes 0.01 No 0.99

New

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

187%Yes No
211%Yes No

New

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX64%Yes No
Anthropic31%Yes No

New

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑5k98%Yes No
↑4.75k97%Yes No

New· measles