Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1–2–3–4–

No trades yet · Ends Mar 2, 2027

1
87%
2
11%
3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6 or lower
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will res…

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