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Trump
Fed Decision in October?
No change
94%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
4%
Yes
No
New
· FOMC
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
New
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%
79%
Yes
No
Below 4.8%
56%
Yes
No
New
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
9%
Yes
No
New
Fed Decision in January?
No change
68%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
28%
Yes
No
New
· FOMC
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
76%
Yes
No
No change
20%
Yes
No
New
· FOMC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
67%
Yes
No
4.0%
18%
Yes
No
New