Politics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot54%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu26%YesNo

New

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 24>99%YesNo
• October 2895%YesNo

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

• Li Xi6%YesNo
• Wang Huning5%YesNo

New

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

14%

New

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%

New

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

• Andy Burnham99%YesNo
• Lula da Silva68%YesNo

New· Trump talk monthly

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

• December 319%YesNo

New

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

New

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

• November 3056%YesNo
• October 3124%YesNo

New

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

• December 316%YesNo

New

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuclear Test

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

9%

New

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

6%

New

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

• December 3115%YesNo

New

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

• December 316%YesNo

New

NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%

New· NATO Article 5

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

• 1-10058%YesNo
• 1k-2.5k15%YesNo

New· Gold Card

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

• Kuomintang (KMT)69%YesNo
• Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%YesNo

New

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russia capture Havrylivka

China x India military clash by...?

• December 31, 20266%YesNo

New

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

• December 3121%YesNo

New· Russia enter Khatnie

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

• Fernando Dias da Costa19%YesNo
• João Bernardo Vieira18%YesNo

New

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

New

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

• December 317%YesNo

New

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?

• December 3113%YesNo

New

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

• December 3127%YesNo

New

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

• Mexico14%YesNo
• Canada12%YesNo

New· Trump Trade Deal Countries

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%

New

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

• October 314%YesNo

New

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

3%

New· Modi Out

Trump meets with Putin by...?

• December 3181%YesNo
• November 3077%YesNo

New

Saudi airspace closed by...?

• December 3121%YesNo
• October 313%YesNo

New

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russian Slovainsk Capture

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

5%

New· North Korean SK Invasion

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

• December 31, 202646%YesNo

New

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

• December 3111%YesNo

New

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

• December 3172%YesNo
• October 3120%YesNo

New

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

New

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

• December 3111%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

New

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

6%

New· China invade Taiwan

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

• December 318%YesNo

New

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

• March 31, 202753%YesNo
• June 30, 202750%YesNo

New

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%

New

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

• No Return to Normal Traffic in 202690%YesNo
• December7%YesNo

New

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

• December 3130%YesNo
• October 316%YesNo

New

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

12%

New· Iran NPT Withdrawal

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3121%YesNo
• November 3011%YesNo

New

Will Russia invade another country by...?

• December 31, 202721%YesNo
• December 31, 20266%YesNo

New

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

New

Erdoğan out by...?

• December 31, 202731%YesNo
• December 31, 20264%YesNo

New· Erdoğan out

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

• November 30, 202650%YesNo
• March 31, 202749%YesNo

New

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

• December 319%YesNo

New

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

• Japan19%YesNo
• Germany13%YesNo

New· Trump Countries Visited

Houthis enter Aden by...?

• December 3123%YesNo
• November 309%YesNo

New

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%

New· Kim Jong Un Out

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

27%

New· Pete Hegseth out

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

• Belgium11%YesNo
• New Zealand9%YesNo

New· Palestine recognition

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

• December 314%YesNo

New

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

New

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

• December 3112%YesNo

New