Iran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 24>99%Yes No
October 2895%Yes No

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 314%Yes No

New

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%

Yes 0.04 No 0.97

New

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

December 313%Yes No

New

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

27%

Yes 0.27 No 0.73

New· Pete Hegseth out

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202632%Yes No
November 30, 202625%Yes No

New· US x Iran diplomatic meeting

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

82%

Yes 0.81 No 0.19

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Kazem Gharibabadi37%Yes No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani31%Yes No

New· Who attend US-Iran peace talks

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

14%

Yes 0.14 No 0.86

New· enrichment of uranium

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3131%Yes No
November 3021%Yes No

New

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3126%Yes No
November 3017%Yes No

New

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%

Yes 0.06 No 0.95

New· iran regime

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 313%Yes No

New

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3160%Yes No
December 3135%Yes No

New