Geopolitics

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

• Li Xi6%YesNo
• Wang Huning5%YesNo

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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%

New· NATO Article 5

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

• Kuomintang (KMT)69%YesNo
• Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%YesNo

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China x India military clash by...?

• December 31, 20266%YesNo

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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

• Mexico14%YesNo
• Canada12%YesNo

New· Trump Trade Deal Countries

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%

New

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

3%

New· Modi Out

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russian Slovainsk Capture

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

6%

New· Israel x Saudi Arabia relations

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

5%

New· North Korean SK Invasion

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

• March 31, 202753%YesNo
• June 30, 202750%YesNo

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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

21%

New· China x Philippines Clash

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

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Erdoğan out by...?

• December 31, 202731%YesNo
• December 31, 20264%YesNo

New· Erdoğan out

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

• November 30, 202650%YesNo
• March 31, 202749%YesNo

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Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

• Japan19%YesNo
• Germany13%YesNo

New· Trump Countries Visited

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

4%

New· Kim Jong Un Out

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

• Belgium11%YesNo
• New Zealand9%YesNo

New· Palestine recognition

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

• December 314%YesNo

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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

• December 3112%YesNo

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Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

80%

New· Nothing Ever Happens

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

• March 31, 20273%YesNo

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Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

• December 31, 20268%YesNo

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India strike on Pakistan by...?

• December 31, 20269%YesNo

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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

• December 3113%YesNo

New· Foreign Intervention In Gaza

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

• December 3110%YesNo

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China x Japan military clash before 2027?

4%

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

• Vladimir Putin80%YesNo
• Mohammed bin Salman72%YesNo

New· trump monthly meeting

Will any country leave NATO by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

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Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuke

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

• 859%YesNo
• 931%YesNo

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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

• Somaliland13%YesNo
• Jordan9%YesNo

New· Abraham Accords New Country

US x Russia military clash by...?

• December 31, 20264%YesNo

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Ukraine election called by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

• China73%YesNo
• No meeting by December 3117%YesNo

New· Trump-Putin Meet where

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

New

Will Alberta join the US?

2%

New

Iran coup attempt by...?

• December 31, 202727%YesNo
• December 31, 20268%YesNo

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Ukraine election held by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

New· Ukraine x Russia Peace Deal

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

• December 3114%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

• December 318%YesNo

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China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

4%

New· China x Taiwan Clash

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

• December 31, 20263%YesNo

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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%

New· China invade Taiwan

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

6%

New· Zelenskyy out

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

• No meeting before 202790%YesNo
• US2%YesNo

New· Putin x Zelenskyy Where Next

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

• June 30, 20279%YesNo
• December 313%YesNo

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Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

• 468%YesNo
• 520%YesNo

New· How many different countries will Israel strike

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

• December 3118%YesNo
• November 309%YesNo

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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

• December 314%YesNo

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Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%

New· Xi Jinping out

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 20279%YesNo
• December 31, 20262%YesNo

New· Putin out as President

Iran leader end of 2026?

• Mojtaba Khamenei79%YesNo
• No Head of State5%YesNo

New

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%

New· China invade Taiwan