Geopolitics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot54%Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu26%Yes No

New

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 24>99%Yes No
October 2895%Yes No

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3128%Yes No
October 312%Yes No

New

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3111%Yes No
October 317%Yes No

New· Houthi military action against Israel

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

8%

Yes 0.08 No 0.92

New· Abraham Accords New Member

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

October 316%Yes No

New

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

6%

Yes 0.06 No 0.93

New· Israel x Saudi Arabia relations

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

December 3110%Yes No

New

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%

Yes 0.09 No 0.91

New· Israel x Turkey Clash

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 3111%Yes No

New

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

March 31, 202753%Yes No
June 30, 202750%Yes No

New

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3130%Yes No
October 316%Yes No

New

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium11%Yes No
New Zealand9%Yes No

New· Palestine recognition

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

December 3112%Yes No

New

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 20268%Yes No

New

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Lebanon14%Yes No
Venezuela9%Yes No

New· Which countries recognize Israel

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 3113%Yes No

New· Foreign Intervention In Gaza

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

82%

Yes 0.81 No 0.19

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3120%Yes No
December 318%Yes No

New

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 3113%Yes No

New

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland13%Yes No
Jordan9%Yes No

New· Abraham Accords New Country

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 20265%Yes No

New

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202727%Yes No
December 31, 20268%Yes No

New

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 3114%Yes No

New

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

December 316%Yes No

New· Hezbollah Disarm

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 20263%Yes No

New

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 20269%Yes No

New

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 316%Yes No

New

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3114%Yes No
October 312%Yes No

New

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

468%Yes No
520%Yes No

New· How many different countries will Israel strike

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 312%Yes No

New· US declares war on Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202733%Yes No
June 30, 202721%Yes No

New

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 24>99%Yes No
October 2796%Yes No

New

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

19%

Yes 0.19 No 0.81

New· US to invade Iran

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31, 202749%Yes No
June 30, 202749%Yes No

New· Netanyahu out