2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party WinnerKuomintang (KMT)69%YesNoDemocratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%YesNoNew
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%YesNoOil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNoNew
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?Oil ≥ $85; D Senate64%YesNoOil ≥ $85; R Senate29%YesNoNew
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?No Hormuz Agreement93%YesNoHormuz Agreement; D Senate5%YesNoNew
