Foreign Policy

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%

Yes 0.04 No 0.96

New· Iran Nuclear Test

NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%

Yes 0.05 No 0.95

New· NATO Article 5

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 318%Yes No
October 31<1%Yes No

New

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

December 3111%Yes No

New

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan19%Yes No
Germany13%Yes No

New· Trump Countries Visited

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%

Yes 0.01 No 0.99

New· Ukraine Joins NATO

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 20265%Yes No

New

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 20265%Yes No

New

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 202716%Yes No
June 30, 20278%Yes No

New

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes 0.09 No 0.91

New· Ukraine x Russia Peace Deal

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

December 316%Yes No

New· Hezbollah Disarm

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 314%Yes No

New

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 20269%Yes No

New

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 311%Yes No

New

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

2%

Yes 0.02 No 0.98

New· geenland deriv

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%

Yes 0.02 No 0.98

New· China invade Taiwan