oil

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 3056%Yes No
October 3124%Yes No

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Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 312%Yes No

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UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%

Yes 0.06 No 0.94

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%Yes No

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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

October 314%Yes No

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 3111%Yes No

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US imports Russian diesel by...?

December 3185%Yes No
November 3083%Yes No

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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 202690%Yes No
December7%Yes No

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Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 3123%Yes No
November 309%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%Yes No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%Yes No

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

6%

Yes 0.06 No 0.93

New· Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate64%Yes No
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate29%Yes No

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

<1%

Yes <0.01 No >0.99

New· Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 3113%Yes No
October 314%Yes No

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Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 202726%Yes No
December 3114%Yes No

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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3116%Yes No
November 308%Yes No

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