midterms

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party92%Yes No
Republican Party8%Yes No

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep65%Yes No
R Senate, D House26%Yes No

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VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)66%Yes No
Tom Perriello (D)34%Yes No

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Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%Yes No
Amanda Janoo (D)25%Yes No

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North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)97%Yes No
Michael Whatley (R)3%Yes No

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Georgia Governor Election Winner

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)63%Yes No
Rick Jackson (R)37%Yes No

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Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)90%Yes No
Andy Biggs (R)9%Yes No

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Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%Yes No
Angie Nixon (D)9%Yes No

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Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D)96%Yes No
Mike Collins (R)4%Yes No

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New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%Yes No
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%Yes No

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Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)87%Yes No
Scott Colom (D)13%Yes No

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Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)86%Yes No
Zach Lahn (R)14%Yes No

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Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19035%Yes No
200-20414%Yes No

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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party92%Yes No
Shutdown & Republican Party8%Yes No

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ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party92%Yes No
Not Extended & Republican Party8%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%Yes No

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Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)93%Yes No
John James (R)7%Yes No

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Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R)82%Yes No
David Jolly (D)19%Yes No

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Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)86%Yes No
Michele Tafoya (R)14%Yes No

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New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)92%Yes No
John E. Sununu (R)8%Yes No

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Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%Yes No
Todd Achilles (I)3%Yes No

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Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems47%Yes No
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps19%Yes No

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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida98%Yes No
Ohio97%Yes No

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How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

22–2334%Yes No
<2227%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%Yes No
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%Yes No

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Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)70%Yes No
Joe Lombardo (R)30%Yes No

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Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R)20%Yes No

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Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)65%Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D)35%Yes No

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Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)71%Yes No
Independent28%Yes No

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Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)83%Yes No
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)18%Yes No

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South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R)81%Yes No
Annie Andrews (D)20%Yes No

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Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%Yes No
Josh Turek (D)43%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate64%Yes No
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate29%Yes No

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Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%Yes No
Adam Hamilton (D)37%Yes No

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement93%Yes No
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%Yes No

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Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins80%Yes No
Bernadette Wilson11%Yes No

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Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%Yes No
Sen. Dan Sullivan25%Yes No

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Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)69%Yes No
Jon Husted (R)31%Yes No

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Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Yes No
Mike Rogers (R)31%Yes No

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Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)59%Yes No
Susan Collins (R)41%Yes No

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Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%Yes No
4815%Yes No

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Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)65%Yes No
Ken Paxton (R)36%Yes No

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%Yes No
Republican Party36%Yes No

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