Iran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 24>99%YesNo
• October 2895%YesNo

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

• November 3056%YesNo
• October 3124%YesNo

New

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuclear Test

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

9%

New

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

• December 316%YesNo

New

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• October 312%YesNo

New

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

• December 3128%YesNo
• October 312%YesNo

New

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

• December 3111%YesNo
• October 317%YesNo

New· Houthi military action against Israel

European military action against Iran by...?

• December 3110%YesNo
• October 312%YesNo

New

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

• December 3127%YesNo

New

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%YesNo
• No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%YesNo

New

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

• October 314%YesNo

New

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

• October 316%YesNo

New

Saudi airspace closed by...?

• December 3121%YesNo
• October 313%YesNo

New

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

• December 3111%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

New

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%

New

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

• No Return to Normal Traffic in 202690%YesNo
• December7%YesNo

New

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

• December 3130%YesNo
• October 316%YesNo

New

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

12%

New· Iran NPT Withdrawal

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3121%YesNo
• November 3011%YesNo

New

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

• December 313%YesNo

New

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

New

Houthis enter Aden by...?

• December 3123%YesNo
• November 309%YesNo

New

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

27%

New· Pete Hegseth out

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

• December 314%YesNo

New

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

• December 31, 202632%YesNo
• November 30, 202625%YesNo

New· US x Iran diplomatic meeting

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

• December 319%YesNo

New

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

2%

New

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

• December 313%YesNo

New

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

6%

New· Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

• December 316%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

New

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

82%

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

• Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%YesNo
• ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14%YesNo

New

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuke

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement93%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%YesNo

New

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

• December 3113%YesNo

New

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

• Kazem Gharibabadi37%YesNo
• Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani31%YesNo

New· Who attend US-Iran peace talks

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

• December 318%YesNo

New

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

14%

New· enrichment of uranium

Iran coup attempt by...?

• December 31, 202727%YesNo
• December 31, 20268%YesNo

New

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3131%YesNo
• November 3021%YesNo

New

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

• December 3126%YesNo
• November 3017%YesNo

New

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

<1%

New· Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

• December 3113%YesNo
• October 314%YesNo

New

Crude Oil all time high by...?

• March 31, 202726%YesNo
• December 3114%YesNo

New

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

• December 3114%YesNo
• October 312%YesNo

New

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

• 468%YesNo
• 520%YesNo

New· How many different countries will Israel strike

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

• December 312%YesNo

New· US declares war on Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

• December 31, 202733%YesNo
• June 30, 202721%YesNo

New

Iran full airspace closure by...?

• December 3136%YesNo
• October 316%YesNo

New

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

2%

New

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3116%YesNo
• November 308%YesNo

New

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

11%

New· Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3114%YesNo
• November 308%YesNo

New

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

• December 314%YesNo

New

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202726%YesNo
• December 3114%YesNo

New

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%

New· iran regime

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

• December 313%YesNo

New

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3160%YesNo
• December 3135%YesNo

New

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 24>99%YesNo
• October 2796%YesNo

New