Geopolitics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot54%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu26%YesNo

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 24>99%YesNo
• October 2895%YesNo

New· US-Iran ceasefire continues

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

• September 2974%YesNo
• September 2870%YesNo

New· Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

• Li Xi6%YesNo
• Wang Huning5%YesNo

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Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

14%

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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%

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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

• Andy Burnham99%YesNo
• Lula da Silva68%YesNo

New· Trump talk monthly

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

• December 319%YesNo

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KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%

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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

• November 3056%YesNo
• October 3124%YesNo

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Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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Iran nuclear test before 2027?

4%

New· Iran Nuclear Test

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

16%

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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

9%

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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

6%

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Will Russia enter Borova by...?

• December 3115%YesNo

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Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%

New· NATO Article 5

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

• 1-10058%YesNo
• 1k-2.5k15%YesNo

New· Gold Card

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

• December 316%YesNo

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Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• October 312%YesNo

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

• Kuomintang (KMT)69%YesNo
• Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)31%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russia capture Havrylivka

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

• March 31, 202717%YesNo
• December 318%YesNo

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Israel military action against Yemen by...?

• December 3128%YesNo
• October 312%YesNo

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Houthi military action against Israel by...?

• December 3111%YesNo
• October 317%YesNo

New· Houthi military action against Israel

China x India military clash by...?

• December 31, 20266%YesNo

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Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

• December 3121%YesNo

New· Russia enter Khatnie

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

8%

New· Abraham Accords New Member

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

• Fernando Dias da Costa19%YesNo
• João Bernardo Vieira18%YesNo

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UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%

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Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

• December 317%YesNo

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?

• December 3113%YesNo

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Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

• December 3127%YesNo

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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

• Mexico14%YesNo
• Canada12%YesNo

New· Trump Trade Deal Countries

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%

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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

• October 314%YesNo

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Israel military action against Beirut by...?

• October 316%YesNo

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Modi out by December 31, 2026?

3%

New· Modi Out

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

New· Taiwan blockade

Trump meets with Putin by...?

• December 3181%YesNo
• November 3077%YesNo

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Saudi airspace closed by...?

• December 3121%YesNo
• October 313%YesNo

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US x Cuba economic deal by...?

• December 3111%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

• December 315%YesNo

New· Russian Slovainsk Capture

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

6%

New· Israel x Saudi Arabia relations

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

5%

New· North Korean SK Invasion

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

• December 3110%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

• December 3121%YesNo

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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

• December 31, 202646%YesNo

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Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%

New· Israel x Turkey Clash

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

• December 3111%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

• December 3172%YesNo
• October 3120%YesNo

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NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

• December 31, 20265%YesNo

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Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

• December 3122%YesNo
• October 314%YesNo

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IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

• December 3111%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

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Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

• June 30, 202756%YesNo
• March 31, 202728%YesNo

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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

6%

New· China invade Taiwan

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

• October 3171%YesNo
• October 3070%YesNo

New· Ukraine target Moscow on

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

• December 318%YesNo

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