Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 2027–December 31–

No trades yet · Ends Jul 1, 2027

June 30, 2027
9%
December 31
3%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”…

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