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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
June 30, 2027–March 31, 2027–December 31–November 30–
No trades yet · Ends Jan 1, 2027
June 30, 2027
57%
March 31, 2027
36%
December 31
13%
November 30
7%
October 31
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd…
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