Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2% chance

No trades yet · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this…

Market data references this event on Polymarket. Prices and points here are independent. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Activity

No trades yet. Be the first.

Comments

Log in to join the conversation.