Geopolitics · Ukraine x Russia Peace Deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9% chance

No trades yet · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalizatio…

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