Politics · Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

11% chance

No trades yet · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not…

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