Natural Disaster in 2026?

13% chance

No trades yet · Ends Mar 1, 2027

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.…

Market data references this event on Polymarket. Prices and points here are independent. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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