How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

1–0–2–3–

No trades yet · Ends Apr 1, 2027

1
52%
0
30%
2
10%
3
6%
5+
1%
4
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titl…

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