How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps)–1 (25 bps)–3 (75 bps)–4 (100 bps)–

No trades yet · Ends Jan 1, 2027

2 (50 bps)
71%
1 (25 bps)
23%
3 (75 bps)
5%
4 (100 bps)
<1%
5+ (125+ bps)
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting). Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed hikes rates…

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