How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

7.0%–5.0%–10.0%–5.5%–

No trades yet · Ends Apr 1, 2027

7.0%
6%
5.0%
5%
10.0%
2%
5.5%
2%
6.0%
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The relevant reports for this m…

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